Here at Fact-Based Football, we decided to take a look at a number of QB's and how they performed during their first 8 professional starts. The group we looked at for this analysis are: Tim Tebow, Mark Sanchez , Joe Flacco , Kyle Orton , Sam Bradford , and Matt Ryan .
Sanchez and Flacco were chosen because they brought their respective teams to the AFC Championship game their first year as starter. Orton was chosen because it is always fun to compare Tebow to Orton and because Orton led his team to the playoffs in his first year as starter. Bradford and Ryan were chosen because they were each the AFC Offensive Rookie of the Year in their first season (Bradford in 2010 and Ryan in 2008).
Here are their stats:
Name | Record | Comp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | QB Rate | Cmp% | Yds/Att | TD% | Int% |
Bradford | 4-4 | 171 | 292 | 1674 | 11 | 8 | 75.9 | 58.6 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
Flacco | 5-3 | 136 | 220 | 1464 | 5 | 7 | 75.6 | 61.8 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
Orton | 5-3 | 122 | 225 | 1186 | 7 | 9 | 62.9 | 54.2 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 4.0 |
Ryan | 5-3 | 133 | 227 | 1661 | 9 | 5 | 85.4 | 58.6 | 7.3 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
Sanchez | 4-4 | 114 | 214 | 1443 | 8 | 10 | 67.6 | 53.3 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 4.7 |
Tebow | 5-3 | 92 | 196 | 1281 | 10 | 4 | 76.9 | 46.9 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 2.0 |
So what is the point??
It is not surprising that all of the QB's in this group delivered a 4-4 or 5-3 record in their first 8 games. While Tebow has been shown to be the most inaccurate of this group, we can also see other interesting facts. For instance, Tebow has the second highest QB Rating, the highest TD%, and the lowest Int %. This data seems to support the idea put forth by many Tebow fans, that he protects the ball and delivers results (i.e. TD's) versus just stats (e.g. comp pct and yards).
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